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Governor Mark Carney leaving - what now for Canada?
Governor Mark Carney
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Mark Carney
is leaving the helm of the Bank
of Canada (BoC) in July of 2013 and
heading
to the Bank of England. The governor of the
BoC is widely
respected and is considered to
be the one responsible for steering the
Canadian economy through the global
financial crisis. Under Carney's
leadership,
Canada has become the envy of other world
powers - banks didn't fail and the economy
has grown.
Carney is seen as a strong central banker and
financial regulator and his approach to
monetary policy has triumphed. It
started in
March 2008, when he decided to cut the
bank's overnight rate
by 50 basis-points,
which was totally opposite to what other
countries
were doing. His instincts have
proven to be correct.
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Then in April, 2009 he
introduced a nonstandard monetary tool - the conditional
commitment, a
monetary stimulus that held the policy rate for at least a year to boost
domestic credit conditions and to improve market confidence. The
Canadian economy
started to improve and started its amazing growth
shortly after that. Carney studied
economics at both Harvard and Oxford and worked as an analyst for
Goldman-Sachs in London, England. He is unique in that he is a PhD
economist with
real-life experience as an investment banker and as a
senior deputy minister at the
Finance Department.
He emerged as a
thought leader at the Group of 20 and last year was appointed to head up
the Financial Stability Board, which is leading an overhaul of global
banking standards.
By moving to England
he inherits a world in flux, not only at the Bank of England (BoE), but
also the surrounding European nations. His role at the BoE is more
challenging than at the BoC and is much more political. The U.K has
become a stagnant economy and on the verge of another recession.
Inflation is high and no one knows where future growth will come from.
Carney's new job is a daunting one. Again, if his performance in Canada
is any indicator, he will make their economy hum once again.
It will be important to see who will take Carney's place. It
is rumoured that Tiff Macklem, the senior deputy governor who worked
closely with Carney and who shares Carney's approach will be his
replacement. With Macklem, we can expect the status quo. Anyone else
would be an unknown.
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Tiff Macklem
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Carney's successor,
however, will not be without challenges.
The economy has slowed, and
government rule changes to
mortgage lending, which has already impacted
the housing
market may trickle down to other parts of the economy.
There
are still challenges with world economies and our
trading partners,
which is having an effect on our markets
as well.
It's been a great
ride with Carney at the helm. If anyone can
turn around the UK economy,
he can. We wish him great
success as we turn a new chapter here in
Canada.
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